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Arizona's 2nd District margin of victory

Markets

  • Crane, 7+ pts

    • Yes40%
    • No60%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Crane, 10+ pts

    • Yes26%
    • No74%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $1K

  • Crane, 4+ pts

    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volume $689.4 · Liquidity $432.5

  • Crane, 1+ pts

    • Yes66%
    • No34%

    Volume $424.7 · Liquidity $244.3

  • Crane, 16+ pts

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $341 · Liquidity $267

  • Crane, 19+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $7 · Liquidity $6

  • Crane, 13+ pts

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 2nd District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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