Arizona's 5th District margin of victory
Markets
Lamb, 23+ pts
- Yes14%
- No86%
Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $208
Lamb, 26+ pts
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $832 · Liquidity $71
Lamb, 2+ pts
- Yes83%
- No17%
Volume $275.2 · Liquidity $265.2
Lamb, 17+ pts
- Yes32%
- No68%
Volume $236 · Liquidity $226
Lamb, 14+ pts
- Yes31%
- No69%
Volume $200 · Liquidity $200
Lamb, 20+ pts
- Yes24%
- No76%
Volume $144 · Liquidity $144
Lamb, 5+ pts
- Yes73%
- No27%
Volume $5 · Liquidity $5
Lamb, 11+ pts
- Yes48%
- No52%
Volume $5 · Liquidity $5
Lamb, 8+ pts
- Yes59%
- No42%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 5th District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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