Arizona Governor margin of victory
Markets
Hobbs, 5+ pts
- Yes72%
- No28%
Volume $14.4K · Liquidity $8.7K
Hobbs, 8+ pts
- Yes30%
- No70%
Volume $9.7K · Liquidity $7.1K
Hobbs, 11+ pts
- Yes32%
- No68%
Volume $5K · Liquidity $3.8K
Hobbs, 2+ pts
- Yes89%
- No11%
Volume $3.7K · Liquidity $3.1K
Hobbs, 14+ pts
- Yes15%
- No85%
Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $960.8
Hobbs, 17+ pts
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $650.3 · Liquidity $434.3
Resolution rules
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Arizona by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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