California's 4th District margin of victory
Markets
Eric Jones, 5+ pts
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Eric Jones, 10+ pts
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Eric Jones, 15+ pts
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If Eric Jones wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 4th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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