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California's 14th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Aisha Wahab, 15+ pts

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $300 · Liquidity $250

  • Aisha Wahab, 5+ pts

    • Yes66%
    • No34%

    Volume $50 · Liquidity $50

  • Aisha Wahab, 10+ pts

    • Yes28%
    • No72%

    Volume $50 · Liquidity $50

  • Aisha Wahab, 20+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $50 · Liquidity $50

  • Aisha Wahab, 1+ pts

    • Yes88%
    • No13%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Aisha Wahab, 7+ pts

    • Yes68%
    • No33%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Aisha Wahab, 25+ pts

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Aisha Wahab, 30+ pts

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Aisha Wahab wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 14th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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