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California's 48th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Wilpert, 12+ pts

    • Yes52%
    • No48%

    Volume $424 · Liquidity $424

  • Wilpert, 15+ pts

    • Yes39%
    • No61%

    Volume $241 · Liquidity $241

  • Wilpert, 9+ pts

    • Yes66%
    • No34%

    Volume $100.7 · Liquidity $54.7

  • Wilpert, 21+ pts

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $100 · Liquidity $100

  • Wilpert, 3+ pts

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $4 · Liquidity $4

  • Wilpert, 18+ pts

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Wilpert, 6+ pts

    • Yes75%
    • No26%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 48th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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