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Connecticut's 2nd District margin of victory

Markets

  • Courtney, 11+ pts

    • Yes88%
    • No12%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $851

  • Courtney, 32+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $131

  • Courtney, 8+ pts

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $486 · Liquidity $162

  • Courtney, 14+ pts

    • Yes79%
    • No21%

    Volume $55 · Liquidity $55

  • Courtney, 17+ pts

    • Yes69%
    • No31%

    Volume $50 · Liquidity $50

  • Courtney, 20+ pts

    • Yes58%
    • No42%

    Volume $50 · Liquidity $50

  • Courtney, 26+ pts

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $50 · Liquidity $50

  • Courtney, 23+ pts

    • Yes48%
    • No52%

    Volume $16 · Liquidity $16

  • Courtney, 29+ pts

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 2nd District by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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