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Florida's 14th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Castor, 8+ pts

    • Yes31%
    • No69%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $531.9

  • Castor, 17+ pts

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $733 · Liquidity $733

  • Castor, 11+ pts

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $704 · Liquidity $482

  • Castor, 14+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $375 · Liquidity $200

  • Castor, 32+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $103 · Liquidity $101

  • Castor, 20+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $102 · Liquidity $100

  • Castor, 23+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $100 · Liquidity $100

  • Castor, 26+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $100 · Liquidity $100

  • Castor, 29+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $56 · Liquidity $53

  • Castor, 5+ pts

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Castor, 2+ pts

    • Yes59%
    • No42%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Florida's 14th District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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