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Florida Governor margin of victory

Markets

  • Donalds, 6+ pts

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $39.7K · Liquidity $23.2K

  • Donalds, 3+ pts

    • Yes68%
    • No32%

    Volume $27.2K · Liquidity $17.7K

  • Donalds, 9+ pts

    • Yes27%
    • No73%

    Volume $18.4K · Liquidity $8.5K

  • Donalds, 12+ pts

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $8.1K · Liquidity $5.1K

  • Donalds, 1+ pts

    • Yes79%
    • No21%

    Volume $6K · Liquidity $5.9K

  • Donalds, 15+ pts

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $4.4K · Liquidity $4.3K

  • Donalds, 18+ pts

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $973.4

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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