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Florida Senate margin of victory

Markets

  • Moody, 6+ pts

    • Yes71%
    • No29%

    Volume $47.1K · Liquidity $22.4K

  • Moody, 8+ pts

    • Yes54%
    • No46%

    Volume $31.4K · Liquidity $19.6K

  • Moody, 12+ pts

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $30.8K · Liquidity $14.9K

  • Moody, 10+ pts

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $29.5K · Liquidity $19.4K

  • Moody, 4+ pts

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $26K · Liquidity $19.8K

  • Moody, 14+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $12.8K · Liquidity $4.7K

  • Moody, 2+ pts

    • Yes91%
    • No9%

    Volume $9.9K · Liquidity $8.3K

  • Moody, 16+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $7.1K · Liquidity $3.6K

  • Moody, 18+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $1.5K

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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