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Illinois's 17th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Sorensen, 3+ pts

    • Yes89%
    • No11%

    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $299

  • Sorensen, 6+ pts

    • Yes83%
    • No17%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Sorensen, 15+ pts

    • Yes57%
    • No43%

    Volume $250 · Liquidity $250

  • Sorensen, 18+ pts

    • Yes41%
    • No59%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Sorensen, 21+ pts

    • Yes31%
    • No70%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Sorensen, 24+ pts

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Sorensen, 27+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Sorensen, 9+ pts

    • Yes73%
    • No28%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Sorensen, 12+ pts

    • Yes62%
    • No38%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 17th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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