Kentucky's 4th District margin of victory
Markets
Gallrein, 42+ pts
- Yes13%
- No87%
Volume $3.6K · Liquidity $330
Gallrein, 18+ pts
- Yes69%
- No31%
Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $600
Gallrein, 27+ pts
- Yes33%
- No67%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $931.4
Gallrein, 24+ pts
- Yes36%
- No64%
Volume $706 · Liquidity $702
Gallrein, 21+ pts
- Yes56%
- No44%
Volume $474.3 · Liquidity $305
Gallrein, 3+ pts
- Yes93%
- No7%
Volume $295 · Liquidity $295
Gallrein, 36+ pts
- Yes23%
- No77%
Volume $250 · Liquidity $250
Gallrein, 33+ pts
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $185.6 · Liquidity $45.8
Gallrein, 30+ pts
- Yes40%
- No60%
Volume $111.4 · Liquidity $67.4
Gallrein, 15+ pts
- Yes80%
- No20%
Volume $62 · Liquidity $40
Gallrein, 6+ pts
- Yes93%
- No7%
Volume $50.2 · Liquidity $50.2
Gallrein, 39+ pts
- Yes5%
- No96%
Volume $8 · Liquidity $8
Gallrein, 9+ pts
- Yes94%
- No6%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Gallrein, 12+ pts
- Yes92%
- No9%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kentucky's 4th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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