Michigan Senate margin of victory
Markets
Rogers, 3+ pts
- Yes12%
- No88%
Volume $19.3K · Liquidity $12.7K
Rogers, 5+ pts
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $16.9K · Liquidity $10.6K
Rogers, 1+ pts
- Yes22%
- No78%
Volume $14.4K · Liquidity $9.2K
Resolution rules
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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