Montana's 1st District margin of victory
Markets
Flint, 3+ pts
- Yes36%
- No64%
Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $569.6
Flint, 15+ pts
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $232
Flint, 6+ pts
- Yes23%
- No77%
Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $1.6K
Flint, 9+ pts
- Yes12%
- No88%
Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $1.3K
Flint, 1+ pts
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $700
Flint, 12+ pts
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $330.6 · Liquidity $309
Resolution rules
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Montana's 1st District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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