North Carolina's 1st District margin of victory
Markets
Davis, 1+ pts
- Yes62%
- No38%
Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $700
Davis, 4+ pts
- Yes60%
- No40%
Volume $386.5 · Liquidity $213.6
Davis, 10+ pts
- Yes33%
- No67%
Volume $328.7 · Liquidity $296.7
Davis, 7+ pts
- Yes46%
- No54%
Volume $80 · Liquidity $65
Davis, 13+ pts
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $20 · Liquidity $20
Resolution rules
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 1st District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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