North Carolina's 1st District margin of victory
Markets
Buckhout, 5+ pts
- Yes21%
- No79%
Volume $6.4K · Liquidity $997.4
Buckhout, 8+ pts
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $4.9K · Liquidity $996
Buckhout, 14+ pts
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $1.1K
Buckhout, 2+ pts
- Yes34%
- No66%
Volume $2.6K · Liquidity $1.2K
Buckhout, 11+ pts
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $688
Resolution rules
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 1st District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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