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New Hampshire's 1st District margin of victory

Markets

  • Shaheen, 4+ pts

    • Yes84%
    • No16%

    Volume $5.1K · Liquidity $651.1

  • Shaheen, 10+ pts

    • Yes59%
    • No41%

    Volume $4.6K · Liquidity $942.5

  • Shaheen, 13+ pts

    • Yes40%
    • No60%

    Volume $4.4K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Shaheen, 1+ pts

    • Yes95%
    • No5%

    Volume $3.9K · Liquidity $192

  • Shaheen, 7+ pts

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $2.8K · Liquidity $627

  • Shaheen, 16+ pts

    • Yes27%
    • No73%

    Volume $2.8K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Shaheen, 19+ pts

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $454 · Liquidity $287

  • Shaheen, 22+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $81 · Liquidity $40

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Hampshire's 1st District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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