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New Hampshire Senate margin of victory

Markets

  • Pappas, 6+ pts

    • Yes65%
    • No35%

    Volume $18.3K · Liquidity $7.5K

  • Pappas, 10+ pts

    • Yes31%
    • No69%

    Volume $12.1K · Liquidity $9.8K

  • Pappas, 4+ pts

    • Yes77%
    • No23%

    Volume $10.4K · Liquidity $7.3K

  • Pappas, 8+ pts

    • Yes43%
    • No57%

    Volume $9.7K · Liquidity $6.5K

  • Pappas, 2+ pts

    • Yes86%
    • No14%

    Volume $5.4K · Liquidity $5.1K

  • Pappas, 12+ pts

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $2.9K

  • Pappas, 18+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $166 · Liquidity $150

  • Pappas, 16+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $123 · Liquidity $123

  • Pappas, 14+ pts

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $58.8 · Liquidity $36.9

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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