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New Mexico Senate margin of victory

Markets

  • Luján, 21+ pts

    • Yes43%
    • No57%

    Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • Luján, 17+ pts

    • Yes75%
    • No25%

    Volume $581.7 · Liquidity $348.7

  • Luján, 15+ pts

    • Yes62%
    • No38%

    Volume $420 · Liquidity $420

  • Luján, 13+ pts

    • Yes91%
    • No9%

    Volume $378 · Liquidity $327

  • Luján, 11+ pts

    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $347.2 · Liquidity $330.4

  • Luján, 19+ pts

    • Yes65%
    • No35%

    Volume $325.2 · Liquidity $315.2

  • Luján, 9+ pts

    • Yes100%
    • No1%

    Volume $264.3 · Liquidity $264.3

  • Luján, 25+ pts

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $27 · Liquidity $26

  • Luján, 23+ pts

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $25 · Liquidity $25

  • Luján, 29+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $11 · Liquidity $10

  • Luján, 27+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $6 · Liquidity $6

  • Luján, 31+ pts

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in New Mexico by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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