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New York's 1st District margin of victory

Markets

  • LaLota, 12+ pts

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $2.9K

  • LaLota, 9+ pts

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • LaLota, 6+ pts

    • Yes43%
    • No57%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $843.7

  • LaLota, 18+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $586.9 · Liquidity $355

  • LaLota, 15+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $406 · Liquidity $225

  • LaLota, 3+ pts

    • Yes73%
    • No27%

    Volume $239 · Liquidity $229

  • LaLota, 1+ pts

    • Yes85%
    • No15%

    Volume $94.9 · Liquidity $94.9

  • LaLota, 21+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 1st District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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