Pennsylvania's 1st District margin of victory
Markets
Harvie, 1+ pts
- Yes39%
- No61%
Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $763
Harvie, 4+ pts
- Yes21%
- No79%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $572
Harvie, 10+ pts
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $231
Harvie, 7+ pts
- Yes20%
- No80%
Volume $875.7 · Liquidity $226.7
Resolution rules
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 1st District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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