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Pennsylvania's 6th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Houlahan, 20+ pts

    • Yes69%
    • No31%

    Volume $90 · Liquidity $10

  • Houlahan, 17+ pts

    • Yes67%
    • No33%

    Volume $8 · Liquidity $7

  • Houlahan, 14+ pts

    • Yes77%
    • No23%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Houlahan, 32+ pts

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $1

  • Houlahan, 8+ pts

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Houlahan, 11+ pts

    • Yes95%
    • No5%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Houlahan, 23+ pts

    • Yes60%
    • No41%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Houlahan, 26+ pts

    • Yes45%
    • No56%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Houlahan, 29+ pts

    • Yes30%
    • No71%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Houlahan, 35+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 6th District by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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