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Texas's 9th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Mealer, 4+ pts

    • Yes63%
    • No37%

    Volume $360 · Liquidity $255

  • Mealer, 1+ pts

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $239.7 · Liquidity $234.7

  • Mealer, 10+ pts

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $100.1 · Liquidity $60.1

  • Mealer, 19+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $69.4 · Liquidity $69.4

  • Mealer, 7+ pts

    • Yes58%
    • No42%

    Volume $25 · Liquidity $25

  • Mealer, 13+ pts

    • Yes26%
    • No75%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Mealer, 16+ pts

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 9th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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