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Texas's 27th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Cloud, 21+ pts

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $243 · Liquidity $243

  • Cloud, 24+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Cloud, 9+ pts

    • Yes69%
    • No31%

    Volume $20 · Liquidity $20

  • Cloud, 15+ pts

    • Yes41%
    • No59%

    Volume $20 · Liquidity $20

  • Cloud, 12+ pts

    • Yes58%
    • No42%

    Volume $16.7 · Liquidity $16.7

  • Cloud, 6+ pts

    • Yes77%
    • No23%

    Volume $12.8 · Liquidity $12.8

  • Cloud, 3+ pts

    • Yes80%
    • No21%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Cloud, 18+ pts

    • Yes28%
    • No72%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Cloud, 27+ pts

    • Yes8%
    • No93%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 27th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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