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Washington's 3rd District margin of victory

Markets

  • Perez, 7+ pts

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Perez, 10+ pts

    • Yes42%
    • No58%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Perez, 4+ pts

    • Yes72%
    • No28%

    Volume $422.3 · Liquidity $417

  • Perez, 13+ pts

    • Yes26%
    • No74%

    Volume $217.3 · Liquidity $202

  • Perez, 16+ pts

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $110 · Liquidity $110

  • Perez, 19+ pts

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $100 · Liquidity $100

  • Perez, 1+ pts

    • Yes88%
    • No12%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Washington's 3rd District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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