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Wisconsin's 8th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Wied, 6+ pts

    • Yes68%
    • No32%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $1K

  • Wied, 9+ pts

    • Yes60%
    • No40%

    Volume $800 · Liquidity $700

  • Wied, 21+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $219 · Liquidity $19

  • Wied, 3+ pts

    • Yes83%
    • No17%

    Volume $20 · Liquidity $10

  • Wied, 12+ pts

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Wied, 15+ pts

    • Yes28%
    • No73%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Wied, 18+ pts

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Wied, 24+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Wisconsin's 8th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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