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Will Trump declare a national emergency?

Markets

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes57%
    • No43%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $1K

  • Before Oct 1, 2026

    Closed
    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $423

  • Before Dec 1, 2026

    • Yes40%
    • No60%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $935.8

  • Before Nov 1, 2026

    • Yes29%
    • No71%

    Volume $248.7 · Liquidity $243.8

  • Before Dec 29, 2026

    Closed
    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Before Apr 1, 2027

    • Yes64%
    • No36%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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