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Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?

Markets

  • Sean Parnell

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $5K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • Adam Telle

    • Yes41%
    • No59%

    Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $1.7K

  • Derrick Anderson

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Brian Mast

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $582.3 · Liquidity $513.4

  • Michael Obadal

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $203 · Liquidity $203

  • Marc Andersen

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $60 · Liquidity $60

  • Brent Ingraham

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $45 · Liquidity $45

  • W. Jordan Gillis

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $40 · Liquidity $40

  • Charles Young III

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $10 · Liquidity $10

Resolution rules

If Michael Obadal formally holds the position of Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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