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2027 Nobel Peace Prize winner

Markets

  • Melania Trump

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $461 · Liquidity $461

  • Doctors Without Borders

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Donald Trump

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $5.1 · Liquidity $5.1

  • Francesca Albanese

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $0.1 · Liquidity $0

  • International Court of Justice

    • Yes2%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • International Criminal Court

    • Yes2%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Save the Children

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Reporters Without Borders (RSF)

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Yulia Navalnaya

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Pope Leo XIV

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Minneapolis

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Parents Circle – Families Forum

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • UNRWA

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • António Guterres

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Elon Musk

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Vanessa Nakate

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • David Attenborough

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Committee to Protect Journalists

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Julian Assange

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • World Health Organization

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Greta Thunberg

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Jimmy Lai

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Imran Khan

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Donald Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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