Will a court block NYC's horse-carriage ban before 2028?
Markets
Will a court block NYC's horse-carriage ban before 2028?
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If any federal or state court issues a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, stay, vacatur, or judgment that blocks, enjoins, annuls, or declares invalid any part of New York City's ban on horse-drawn carriages passed by the City Council on October 22, 2026 (Int. No. 943-A, Romanch's Law) in a case challenging New York City's horse-drawn carriage ban before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Politics markets
Will Musk deposit SpaceX shares into 10M Trump Accounts?
No: 53%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will the D.C. Circuit fully affirm the Perkins Coie ruling?
Yes: 65%
24h vol $200 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 62%
24h vol $10 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?
No: 94%
24h vol $0.9 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
When will AI biosecurity safeguards become U.S. law?
Before Jul 1, 2027: 84%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
When will a catastrophic AI duty of care become U.S. law?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 45%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
When will serious AI-incident reporting become U.S. law?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 56%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
When will independent AI safety audits become U.S. law?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 40%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will any UN country change its capital before 2028?
No: 79%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will Chile and Bolivia restore ambassador-level relations?
Before 2028: 26%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Danielle Smith announces departure as Alberta UCP leader?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 45%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will the EU's ETIAS accept applications before 2028?
Yes: 72%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028