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Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?

Markets

  • Above 190 million

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $11.2K · Liquidity $125.9

  • Above 180 million

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $547 · Liquidity $547

  • Above 170 million

    • Yes78%
    • No22%

    Volume $123.7 · Liquidity $121.2

  • Above 175 million

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $123 · Liquidity $123

  • Above 185 million

    • Yes10%
    • No91%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals is above 170 million for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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