NYPD uniformed headcount at the end of 2026?
Markets
Above 35,000
- Yes45%
- No55%
Volume $222.7 · Liquidity $222.7
Above 34,250
- Yes89%
- No11%
Volume $205 · Liquidity $205
Above 34,500
- Yes85%
- No15%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Above 34,750
- Yes66%
- No34%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Above 35,250
- Yes32%
- No68%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Above 35,500
- Yes15%
- No85%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Above 35,750
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If the actual full-time headcount reported by the New York City Mayor’s Office of Management and Budget for the New York City Police Department in the “Uniform” employee category is above 34,250 as of December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Politics markets
How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28?
Above 4,000: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Sep 1, 2027
Single adult NYC homeless shelter average stay in FY2027?
Above 275 days: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Oct 1, 2027
How many N.Y.C. Groceries stores will open before 2029?
At least 1: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
When will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica?
Before Apr 1, 2027: 21%
24h vol $26.9 · Ends Apr 1, 2027
How many affordable homes will NYC finance in FY2027?
Above 15,000: 87%
24h vol $0 · Ends Sep 17, 2027
Blue wave in 2026?
Yes: 84%
24h vol $80.2K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Blue tsunami in 2026?
Yes: 61%
24h vol $26.6K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026?
Steve Daines: 3%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Who will hold Marsha Blackburn's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?
Glenn Jacobs: 38%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Will Arkansas's crypto mining ownership ban survive appeal?
No: 67%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 1, 2027
NYC teachers' aides paid the Respect Check before Feb 2027?
No: 80%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Will Virginia regulators approve the Dominion-NextEra merger?
Yes: 71%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 1, 2027

