Will Ontario lift its U.S. alcohol restrictions?
Markets
Before Jan 1, 2027
- Yes23%
- No77%
Volume $2.6K · Liquidity $2.6K
Before Jul 1, 2027
- Yes54%
- No47%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If Ontario ends its broad restrictions on U.S.-produced beverage alcohol by putting into effect a policy authorizing the LCBO to generally resume purchasing and supplying those products for ordinary commercial sale in the province after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Politics markets
How much will ACA Marketplace enrollment decline in 2027?
Above 5%: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jul 1, 2027
Will Illinois regulate data center energy and water use?
Yes: 71%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 1, 2027
How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28?
Above 4,000: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Sep 1, 2027
How many affordable homes will NYC finance in FY2027?
Above 15,000: 87%
24h vol $0 · Ends Sep 17, 2027
When will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica?
Before Jan 1, 2027: 22%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 1, 2027
How many FY2027 continuing resolutions will become law?
At least 2: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Oct 1, 2027
Single adult NYC homeless shelter average stay in FY2027?
Above 275 days: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Oct 1, 2027
Will 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?
On Dec 10, 2026: 99%
24h vol $34.1 · Ends Nov 20, 2027
Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
On Nov 16, 2026: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 23, 2027
Blue wave in 2026?
Yes: 84%
24h vol $80.2K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Blue tsunami in 2026?
Yes: 61%
24h vol $26.6K · Ends Feb 1, 2027
Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026?
Steve Daines: 3%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 1, 2027