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Will Pennsylvania formally begin leaving PJM?

Markets

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $364.6 · Liquidity $361.6

  • Before Jul 1, 2027

    • Yes41%
    • No60%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Pennsylvania formally initiates or completes a statewide withdrawal from PJM through binding governmental action directing implementation or coordinated filings by the affected Pennsylvania electric utilities to remove all or substantially all Pennsylvania retail load and associated transmission operations from PJM’s regional operational and wholesale-market footprint after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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