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Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation in 2026?

Markets

  • Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation before Jan 1, 2027?

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $4.6K · Liquidity $517

Resolution rules

If the Senate has overruled the parliamentarian’s ruling on whether a given line-item can be included within budget reconciliation before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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