Will SCOTUS bar Watanabe’s Bivens medical-care claim?
Markets
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Francis Nielsen in Nielsen v. Watanabe
- Yes79%
- No21%
Volume $450.6 · Liquidity $401.2
Resolution rules
If the Supreme Court, in Nielsen v. Watanabe, rules Watanabe may not pursue a Bivens damages claim against Nielsen for allegedly inadequate medical care, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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