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120th Congress: Who will be Senate Minority Leader?

Markets

  • John Barrasso

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $5.6K · Liquidity $908

  • John Thune

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Chuck Schumer

    • Yes41%
    • No59%

    Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Tom Cotton

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $14 · Liquidity $14

  • Brian Schatz

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Chris Van Hollen

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Chris Murphy

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Cory Booker

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Chuck Schumer wins the U.S. Senate Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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