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120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House?

Markets

  • Katherine Clark

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $5.5K · Liquidity $2.1K

  • Hakeem Jeffries

    • Yes84%
    • No16%

    Volume $4.1K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • Mike Johnson

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $3.4K · Liquidity $2K

  • Tom Emmer

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $928.6

  • Steve Scalise

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $830.1

  • Jim Jordan

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $855.8

  • Pete Aguilar

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $531 · Liquidity $486

Resolution rules

If Pete Aguilar wins the election for Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives at the opening of the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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