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Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch?

Markets

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes51%
    • No49%

    Volume $12.6K · Liquidity $3.5K

  • Before Dec 1, 2026

    • Yes41%
    • No59%

    Volume $265.1 · Liquidity $205

  • Before Apr 1, 2027

    • Yes65%
    • No36%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If construction begins on the proposed United States Triumphal Arch in Washington, D.C. after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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