Skip to content
TheKalshiAcademy
EN

Will Trump issue dividend payments?

Markets

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $86.5K · Liquidity $33.8K

  • Before Apr 1, 2027

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $1.6K

Resolution rules

If it is reported by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

More Politics markets