Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?
Markets
Before Jul 1, 2027
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $12K · Liquidity $8.8K
Before Jan 1, 2028
- Yes19%
- No81%
Volume $9.2K · Liquidity $6.6K
Before Sep 1, 2026
Closed- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $7.3K · Liquidity $1.9K
Before Jan 1, 2027
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $4.8K · Liquidity $2.9K
Resolution rules
If the President of the United States has tried to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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