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When will Trump lower tariffs on Canada?

Markets

  • Before Oct 1, 2026

    Closed
    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $3.1K

  • Before Nov 1, 2026

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $505 · Liquidity $505

  • Before Apr 1, 2027

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $115.4 · Liquidity $1

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes47%
    • No53%

    Volume $107.8 · Liquidity $101.8

  • Before Dec 1, 2026

    • Yes45%
    • No55%

    Volume $56.6 · Liquidity $50.1

Resolution rules

If Donald Trump has taken any presidential action reducing, removing, or suspending an existing tariff on imports from Canada, with a specified effective date, through a new policy decision officially announced by Donald Trump after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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