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IL-16 House election: Paul Nolley vote percent

Markets

  • At least 46%

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $67.4 · Liquidity $67.4

  • At least 34%

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $1

  • At least 36%

    • Yes89%
    • No11%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 38%

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 40%

    • Yes58%
    • No42%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 42%

    • Yes37%
    • No63%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 44%

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 48%

    • Yes5%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 50%

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Paul Nolley in the 2026 IL-16 House election is 34% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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