Skip to content
TheKalshiAcademy
EN

California Governor margin of victory

Markets

  • Democrats, 15+ pts

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $3.9K · Liquidity $2.8K

  • Democrats, 9+ pts

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $2.3K

  • Democrats, 21+ pts

    • Yes64%
    • No36%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • Democrats, 12+ pts

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Democrats, 24+ pts

    • Yes46%
    • No54%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Democrats, 18+ pts

    • Yes73%
    • No27%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $630.9

  • Democrats, 30+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $492.9 · Liquidity $331.8

  • Democrats, 27+ pts

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $489.1 · Liquidity $332

  • Democrats, 36+ pts

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $172.3 · Liquidity $172.3

  • Democrats, 33+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $88 · Liquidity $85

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in California by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

More Politics markets