Alaska Governor margin of victory
Markets
Democrats, 11+ pts
- Yes32%
- No68%
Volume $600 · Liquidity $400
Democrats, 14+ pts
- Yes20%
- No80%
Volume $247 · Liquidity $245
Democrats, 2+ pts
- Yes83%
- No17%
Volume $202.4 · Liquidity $202.4
Democrats, 5+ pts
- Yes55%
- No45%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Democrats, 8+ pts
- Yes27%
- No73%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Democrats, 17+ pts
- Yes47%
- No53%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Alaska by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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