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Vermont Governor margin of victory

Markets

  • Republicans, 11+ pts

    • Yes67%
    • No33%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $922.2

  • Republicans, 14+ pts

    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $814.9

  • Republicans, 20+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $883.1 · Liquidity $853.1

  • Republicans, 23+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $842 · Liquidity $642

  • Republicans, 17+ pts

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $530.9 · Liquidity $416

  • Republicans, 26+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $411 · Liquidity $411

  • Republicans, 29+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $106 · Liquidity $106

  • Republicans, 8+ pts

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $8.9 · Liquidity $4.5

  • Republicans, 2+ pts

    • Yes72%
    • No28%

    Volume $3 · Liquidity $3

  • Republicans, 5+ pts

    • Yes62%
    • No39%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Republicans, 32+ pts

    • Yes30%
    • No71%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Republicans, 35+ pts

    • Yes28%
    • No73%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Republicans, 38+ pts

    • Yes28%
    • No73%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Republicans, 41+ pts

    • Yes28%
    • No73%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Republicans, 44+ pts

    • Yes28%
    • No73%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Vermont by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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