Skip to content

Will the House vote on a resolution to expel Ilhan Omar?

Markets

  • Before Dec 1, 2026

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $470 · Liquidity $470

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $49.8 · Liquidity $49.8

  • Before Jul 1, 2027

    • Yes36%
    • No65%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the House has conducted any recorded vote on any resolution providing for the expulsion of Representative Ilhan Omar (D-MN) from the United States House of Representatives, any motion to table, refer, or postpone such a resolution, or any special rule that specifically refers to such a resolution after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses