Skip to content

Scottish independence referendum called?

Markets

  • Before 2027

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $24.7K · Liquidity $7.9K

  • Before 2028

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Before 2029

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Before 2030

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If a new Scottish independence referendum sanctioned by the UK government has been announced before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses