Politics Prediction Markets
Live Kalshi event contracts on elections, Congress, policy and world leaders. Prices show the crowd's odds, not certainties.
Data from Kalshi, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Rivers State Governor winner?
APC: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 6, 2028
Nasarawa State Governor winner?
APC: 59%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 6, 2028
Kolkata Municipal Corporation election winner?
BJP: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2027
Lagos State Governor winner?
APC: 85%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 6, 2028
Wyoming Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 158K: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in Hawaii?
Authorize RISE Bonds Amendment: 79%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 2, 2027
Katsina State Governor winner?
APC: 79%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 6, 2028
Which ballot measures will pass in Georgia?
9-1-1 Fund Amendment: 85%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 2, 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in Florida?
Amendment 2: 64%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 2, 2027
Kano State Governor winner?
APC: 65%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 6, 2028
Kaduna State Governor winner?
APC: 73%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 6, 2028
Gombe State Governor winner?
APC: 75%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 6, 2028
Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore?
No: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 21, 2029
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?
Before Apr 1, 2028: 55%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 1, 2028
Bauchi State Governor winner?
APC: 40%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 6, 2028
Akwa Ibom State Governor winner?
APC: 86%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 6, 2028
Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term?
No: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 20, 2029
Missouri governor winner? (2028)
Republican: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Upper Austria state election winner?
FPÖ: 55%
24h vol $0 · Ends Sep 25, 2028
Lower Saxony state election winner?
SPD: 62%
24h vol $0 · Ends Sep 25, 2028
Who will be the third-highest ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 30, 2026?
Amy Acton: 55%
24h vol $0 · Ends Oct 30, 2026
California 30 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 160K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Virginia's 2nd District margin of victory
Luria, 2+ pts: 80%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Next Moldovan presidential election winner?
Alexandr Stoianoglo: 19%
24h vol $0 · Ends Oct 31, 2029
Georgian parliamentary election winner?
Georgian Dream – Democratic Georgia: 79%
24h vol $0 · Ends Oct 31, 2029
West Virginia 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will SCOTUS rule for DHS on third-country deportations?
Yes: 62%
24h vol $0 · Ends Aug 1, 2028
New York 25 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Tijuana mayoral election winner?
Morena: 61%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 5, 2028
Querétaro Governor winner?
PAN: 69%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 5, 2028
Miguel Hidalgo, Mexico City mayoral election winner?
PAN: 72%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 5, 2028
Guadalajara, Jalisco mayoral election winner?
MC: 56%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 5, 2028
Cuauhtémoc, Mexico City mayoral election winner?
PAN: 51%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 5, 2028
Benito Juárez, Mexico City mayoral election winner?
PAN: 87%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 5, 2028
Tlaxcala Governor winner?
Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera: 65%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 6, 2028
Nevada 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 24 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Who will be Latvia’s Prime Minister after the election?
Andris Kulbergs: 87%
24h vol $0 · Ends Oct 3, 2027
Campeche Governor winner?
Morena: 68%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 5, 2028
Turkish presidential election winner?
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan: 56%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 7, 2030
Guatemalan presidential election winner?
Neto Bran: 26%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 26, 2028
Chihuahua Governor winner?
Morena: 67%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 5, 2028
North Rhine-Westphalia state election winner?
CDU: 63%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 25, 2028
Will anyone win the next French presidential election in the first round?
No: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 18, 2028
Oregon 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 240K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New Hampshire 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California 14 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 80K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in Arkansas?
Citizens Only Voting Amendment: 98%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 2, 2027