Politics Prediction Markets
Live Kalshi event contracts on elections, Congress, policy and world leaders. Prices show the crowd's odds, not certainties.
Data from Kalshi, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Virginia 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 150K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Virginia 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York 22 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Utah 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas 08 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Utah 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York 23 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Pennsylvania 11 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
New York 24 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
North Dakota at large House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Dominican Republic Chamber of Deputies election winner?
Modern Revolutionary Party: 69%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 19, 2029
Ohio 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Philippine House winner?
Lakas: 38%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 31, 2029
How many U.S. visas will be revoked in 2026?
At least 100,000: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 1, 2027
California's 27th District margin of victory
Whitesides, 10+ pts: 88%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Next government of the United Kingdom?
Reform UK majority: 13%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
When will the next UK parliamentary by-election be called?
Before Jul 1, 2027: 82%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)
Above $1M: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Who will Trump nominate as U.S. Ambassador to Greece?
Gus Bilirakis: 13%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 20, 2029
Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes?
Before 2034: 32%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2034
Texas 36 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Which data center ballot measures will pass?
Trenton, Ohio Issue 17: 51%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Who will win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election?
BJP-led NDA: 85%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 21, 2028
Ohio 09 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas 38 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
North Carolina 09 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas 33 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 115K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio 10 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Arizona's 6th District margin of victory
Mendoza, 1+ pts: 79%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio 11 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Idaho Senate winner? (2028)
Republican party: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Texas 21 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 260K: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas 20 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 123K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas 18 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 142K: 91%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas 16 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 136K: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Pennsylvania 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 140K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Oregon 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 280K: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Dominican PRM presidential nomination winner?
David Collado: 63%
24h vol $0 · Ends Oct 3, 2028
North Carolina 07 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 240K: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio 13 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
How many House seats will Democrats win in Louisiana?
1: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio 14 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Indiana's 2nd District margin of victory
Yakym, 10+ pts: 86%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will Venezuela exit OPEC?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 38%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Texas 13 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Illinois Senate winner? (2028)
Democratic party: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 7, 2029
Indiana's 3rd District margin of victory
Stutzman, 8+ pts: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027